Maddison Inglis vs Mai HontamaVancouver Semi-final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#132WTA
1590ELO
1558Hard ELO
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT · 1st on
#171WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Inglis M.
6-3 6-4
Hontama M.
Inglis M.
662
Hontama M.
340

Maddison Inglis defeated Mai Hontama in the Vancouver semifinals, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Inglis hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, while Hontama had 0 aces and 5 double faults. Inglis won 78% of her first-serve points and converted 67% of her break points, securing 4 service breaks to Hontama's 2.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-30W100 Gifu 1R32hardMai Hontama6-1 6-4
2024-07-11W50 Corroios-Seixal 1R16hardMai Hontama6-2 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
0.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
22
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
50
27
Break points won·Dominant
25
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
36
28
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Inglis M.59%
Hontama M.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Inglis M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.5+117 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1442
6.4Overall Elo 1590
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1480
1.8Trails 0–3 on hard
H2H
8.2Leads 3–0 on hard
5.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Inglis M.: 20 days rest · Hontama M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw