Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro — San Marino Quarter-final

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
LTU3
Vilius Gaubas
#123ATP
1581ELO
1535Clay ELO
$279kYTD
$763kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
Thiago Monteiro
BRAQ
Thiago Monteiro
#274ATP
1568ELO
1554Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Gaubas V.
7-6 7-6
Monteiro T.
Gaubas V.
79772
Monteiro T.
67650

Vilius Gaubas defeated Thiago Monteiro in the quarterfinals of the San Marino tournament on clay, winning in straight sets 7-6, 7-6. Gaubas and Monteiro were even in aces, double faults, and first-serve win percentage, but Gaubas converted 50% of his break points to Monteiro's 20%. Each player earned one service break.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-14BastadQ2clayThiago Monteiro1-6 6-2 6-3

Statistics

This season
Gaubas V.Monteiro T.
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gaubas V.Monteiro T.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
23
Break points saved·Even
87
88
Break points won·Dominant
52
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
11
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Gaubas V.59%
Monteiro T.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gaubas V. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gaubas V.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Monteiro T.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1535
Surface ELO
5.2+19 Clay Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1568
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
3.83 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gaubas V.Monteiro T.
Freshness·Even
100
100

Gaubas V.: 15 days rest · Monteiro T.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw