Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan LajovicWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
#120ATP
1581ELO
1529Grass ELO
$279kYTD
$763kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLWL
3 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#149ATP
1620ELO
1488Grass ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWLWL
Gaubas V.
3-6 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-4
Lajovic D.
Gaubas V.
363663
Lajovic D.
646342

Vilius Gaubas defeated Dusan Lajovic in the Wimbledon final, coming back from a set down twice to win 3-6, 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4. Gaubas converted 33% of his break points, compared to 7% for Lajovic, and secured 3 service breaks to Lajovic's 1. Gaubas served 8 aces to Lajovic's 13 and had a first-serve win percentage of 75% to Lajovic's 71%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
41
Break points saved·Even
87
87
Break points won·Dominant
52
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Gaubas V.51%
Lajovic D.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+75 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Grass Elo 1447
4.7Overall Elo 1660
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1682
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.65 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
4.4Won 40% in United Kingdom (20)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
61
76

Gaubas V.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 88 games (7d) · Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw