Valentina Ryser vs Urszula Radwanska

W50 Dublin · ITF · Round of 16

SUI4

Valentina Ryser

#277WTA

1492ELO

1468Hard ELO

25 yrs

Last 10

WLWWLWWWWW

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 14:30

hard

POL

Urszula Radwanska

#665WTA

1271ELO

1246Hard ELO

35 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLWLLLLL

Ryser V.

Radwanska U.

Valentina Ryser faces Urszula Radwanska in the W50 Dublin round of 16 on hard. Valentina Ryser holds the paper edge — ranked #277, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Ryser V.77%

Radwanska U.23%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ryser V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Valentina Ryser dropped just 5 games past Micol Salvadori.
Last match: Urszula Radwanska dropped just 4 games past A. Sorska.
Surface form: Valentina Ryser 7 of 9, Urszula Radwanska 2 of 9 on hard recently — Valentina Ryser the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Ryser V.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Radwanska U.

3.2

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.8+222 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.2Hard Elo 1246

7.8Overall Elo 1492

ELO gap

2.2Overall Elo 1271

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.38 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

2.63 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

40 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season

Ryser V.Radwanska U.

1st serve in·Even

56%

58%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

69%

59%

2nd serve points won·Even

46%

44%

Service points won·Slight edge

59%

53%

Return points won·Even

44%

41%

Break points saved·Slight edge

56%

51%

Aces / match·Even

4.4

4.0

Double faults / match·Clear edge

5.3

6.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Ryser V.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Radwanska U.

Radwanska U.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Ryser V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Ryser V.Radwanska U.

Freshness·

—

Ryser V.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

19°CPartly cloudy

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 39%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Valentina Ryser vs Urszula Radwanska — W50 Dublin Round of 16