Daniel Michalski vs W. MarekM25 Koszalin Round of 16

M25 Koszalin · ITF · Round of 16
#305ATP
1435ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLLWWL
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
W. Marek
Last 10
W
Michalski D.
vs
Marek W.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Michalski D.96%
Marek W.4%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Michalski D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Marek W.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 matches

Statistics

This season
Michalski D.Marek W.
1st serve in·
60%
1st serve points won·
66%
2nd serve points won·
51%
Service points won·
60%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
52%
Aces / match·
2.4
Double faults / match·
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Michalski D.Marek W.
Freshness·
97

Michalski D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
33°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw