Daniel Michalski vs Marcel ZielinskiM25 Koszalin Quarter-final

M25 Koszalin · ITF · Quarter-final
#330ATP
1435ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
clay
#578ATP
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWW
Michalski D.
6-4 6-2
Zielinski M.
Michalski D.
662
Zielinski M.
420

Daniel Michalski advanced to the semifinals of the M25 Koszalin tournament, defeating Marcel Zielinski in the quarterfinals. Michalski won in straight sets, 6-4, 6-2. He converted 60% of his break points and held his first serve 92% of the time.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
0.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Michalski D.89%
Zielinski M.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Michalski D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.91 of last 6 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Michalski D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw