Maiko Uchijima vs Maddison Inglis — Vancouver Quarter-final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

JPN

Maiko Uchijima

22 yrs

Last 10

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Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 11:30

hard

ARTEMIS GOLD · 2nd on

AUS8

Maddison Inglis

#150WTA

1590ELO

1558Hard ELO

28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Uchijima M.

Inglis M.

Maiko Uchijima faces Maddison Inglis in the Vancouver quarter-final on hard.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC

Uchijima M.20%

Inglis M.80%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Inglis M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Maiko Uchijima comes in with 1 days of rest and 69 games in 14d, vs Maddison Inglis's 1 and 34.
Last match: Maiko Uchijima dropped the opening set before beating Hayu Kinoshita 2–6 6–4 7–5.
Last match: Maddison Inglis dropped just 6 games past Sofia Costoulas.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

2 common opponents · Uchijima M. 0–2 · Inglis M. 2–1 · small sample

Inglis M. better · different surfaces (Clay × Grass) · ⚠ lower-tier event▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Uchijima M.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Inglis M.

4.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

Surface form

4.84 of last 10 on hard

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season

Uchijima M.Inglis M.

1st serve in·Slight edge

73%

62%

1st serve points won·Dominant

40%

66%

2nd serve points won·Even

46%

Service points won·Clear edge

42%

58%

Return points won·Even

39%

Break points saved·Dominant

54%

Aces / match·Clear edge

0.0

2.3

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.0

2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Uchijima M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Inglis M.

Inglis M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Uchijima M.

Serve advantage — Inglis M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load

Uchijima M.Inglis M.

Freshness·Clear edge

Uchijima M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Inglis M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather forecast

20°COvercast

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.