Hietaranta vs Lene — W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas R16

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 16

FIN

Laura Hietaranta

#411WTA

1292ELO

1254Clay ELO

22 yrs

Last 10

WWLLLLWLLL

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 11:00

clay

FRA

Emma Lene

#630WTA

27 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWWWLWW

Hietaranta L.

Lene E.

Laura Hietaranta faces Emma Lene in the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas round of 16 on clay. Laura Hietaranta is the paper favourite — ranked #411 — but Emma Lene arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on clay to Laura Hietaranta's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Hietaranta L.58%

Lene E.42%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Hietaranta L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Emma Lene dropped the opening set before beating Maria Lourdes Carle 2–6 6–2 6–2.
Surface form: Laura Hietaranta 3 of 10, Emma Lene 8 of 10 on clay recently — Emma Lene the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Emma Lene carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Hietaranta L.

4.1

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Lene E.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

3.0Trails 0–1 on clay

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on clay

3.33 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

7.27 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

7.03-match win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season

Hietaranta L.Lene E.

1st serve in·Slight edge

62%

72%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

56%

61%

2nd serve points won·Even

47%

50%

Service points won·Slight edge

52%

58%

Return points won·Even

45%

47%

Break points saved·Slight edge

50%

57%

Aces / match·Slight edge

0.8

1.8

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.4

1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Hietaranta L.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Lene E.

Lene E.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Hietaranta L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

35°CClear

Wind 6 km/hHumidity 22%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Laura Hietaranta vs Emma Lene — W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 16