Maria Lourdes Carle vs Emma Lene — W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 32

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 32
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#231WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWLWL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
FRA
Emma Lene
#610WTA
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWLWL
Lourdes Carle M.
vs
Lene E.

Maria Lourdes Carle faces Emma Lene in the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas round of 32 on clay. Maria Lourdes Carle holds the paper edge — ranked #231. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Lourdes Carle M.81%
Lene E.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Lourdes Carle M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Maria Lourdes Carle carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Maria Lourdes Carle 6 of 10, Emma Lene 5 of 10 on clay recently — Maria Lourdes Carle the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lourdes Carle M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Lene E.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

18 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
Lourdes Carle M.Lene E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
50%
58%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Lourdes Carle M.serving30% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Lene E.

Lene E.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Lourdes Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Lourdes Carle M.Lene E.
Freshness·
75
—

Lourdes Carle M.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw