Vilius Gaubas vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri — San Marino Round of 16
LTU3
Gaubas V.
Vilius Gaubas faces Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the San Marino round of 16 on clay. Vilius Gaubas is the paper favourite — ranked #128, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage — but Genaro Alberto Olivieri arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay to Vilius Gaubas's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Gaubas V. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Vilius Gaubas comes in with 2 days of rest and 35 games in 14d, vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri's 2 and 63.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Vilius Gaubas has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 57 vs 26).
- Last match: Genaro Alberto Olivieri dropped just 5 games past Carlos Taberner.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGaubas V.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Olivieri G.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.