Anna Lena Friedsam vs Dominika SalkovaW100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 16

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 16
#253WTA
1571ELO
1534Clay ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLLWWL
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
#121WTA
1618ELO
1552Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWLLLL
Lena Friedsam A.
vs
Salkova D.

Anna Lena Friedsam faces Dominika Salkova in the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas round of 16 on clay. Dominika Salkova holds the paper edge — ranked #121, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Lena Friedsam A.39%
Salkova D.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Salkova D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
4 common opponents · Lena Friedsam A. 2–2 · Salkova D. 3–2 · small sample
Salkova D. better · same surface, 7 days apart · ⚠ lower-tier event
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1534
Surface ELO
5.2+17 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1571
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1618
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

24 vs 40 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
47%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.9
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Lena Friedsam A.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Salkova D.

Salkova D.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Lena Friedsam A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
58
Break points saved·Dominant
14
75
Break points won·Dominant
35
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
75
Tiebreaks·Even
24
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
85

Lena Friedsam A.: 16 days rest · Salkova D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
35°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 22%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw