Lea Boskovic vs Dominika SalkovaW100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 32

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 32
#321WTA
1410ELO
1395Clay ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
clay
#121WTA
1618ELO
1552Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLLW
Boskovic L.
6-4 0-6 4-6
Salkova D.
Boskovic L.
6041
Salkova D.
4662

Dominika Salkova defeated Lea Boskovic 4-6, 6-0, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas. Salkova converted 73 percent of her break points and won 66 percent of her first-serve points to secure the win. The match saw Salkova commit six double faults to Boskovic's two.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-11-19W40 FunchalFhardDominika Salkova4-6 7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
58
Break points saved·Clear edge
54
75
Break points won·Slight edge
76
87
Deciding sets·Even
71
75
Tiebreaks·
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Boskovic L.26%
Salkova D.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Salkova D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Clay Elo 1395
Surface ELO
7.0+157 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1410
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1618
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

Salkova D.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw