Emerson Jones vs Madison BrengleVancouver Round of 16

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#139WTA
1671ELO
1664Hard ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 6th on
#213WTA
1575ELO
1539Hard ELO
36 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWLWW
Jones E.
4-6 6-0 6-2
Brengle M.
Jones E.
4662
Brengle M.
6021

Emerson Jones defeated Madison Brengle in the Round of 16 at the Vancouver hard-court tournament, prevailing 4-6, 6-0, 6-2. Jones converted 78 percent of her break points and won 62 percent of her first-serve points to overcome Brengle. Jones served seven breaks to Brengle's three, and also produced one ace to Brengle's zero.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
62%
79%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
0.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Jones E.73%
Brengle M.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jones E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+125 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1539
6.2Overall Elo 1671
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1575
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
81

Jones E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Brengle M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw