Braden Shick vs Andres AndradeVancouver Round of 16

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#234ATP
1385ELO
1358Hard ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#262ATP
1505ELO
1427Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLWWL
Shick B.
6-2 6-3
Andrade A.
Shick B.
662
Andrade A.
230

Braden Shick defeated Andres Andrade 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Vancouver hard-court tournament. Shick hit 7 aces to Andrade's 2 and converted 57% of his break points, compared to Andrade's 33%. Shick won 71% of his first-serve points to Andrade's 57%, and secured 4 service breaks to Andrade's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Shick B.55%
Andrade A.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1358
Surface ELO
5.9+69 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1384
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1505
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
8.08 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
51
68

Shick B.: played today · 3 matches, 81 games (7d) · Andrade A.: played today · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw