Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Sloane StephensMemphis Round of 32

Memphis · WTA · Round of 32
#65WTA
1759ELO
1668Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#286WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWW
Starodubtseva Y.
4-6 7-5 2-6
Stephens S.
Starodubtseva Y.
4721
Stephens S.
6562

Sloane Stephens defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva in the Round of 32 at the Memphis tournament on hard courts. Stephens won the match 6-4, 5-7, 6-2. Stephens had 2 aces and 3 double faults, while Starodubtseva had 3 aces and 4 double faults; Stephens converted 47% of break points and Starodubtseva converted 42%, with Stephens securing 7 service breaks to Starodubtseva's 5.

Key context

  • Match story: Sloane Stephens closed it out in three sets, 6–4 5–7 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
59
Break points saved·Dominant
89
25
Break points won·Even
95
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
66
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
76
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Starodubtseva Y.58%
Stephens S.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Starodubtseva Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+38 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1630
6.0Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1682
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
80

Starodubtseva Y.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Stephens S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
34°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw