Sloane Stephens vs Darja Vidmanova — Memphis Round of 16
Memphis · WTA · Round of 16
—
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
Stephens S.vs
Vidmanova D.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTCStephens S.39%
Vidmanova D.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Vidmanova D. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1630
Surface ELO5.4+36 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1682
ELO gap4.9Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form8.68 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.7Won 79% in Usa (47)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
14 vs 31 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Vidmanova D.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
77
79
Stephens S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Vidmanova D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 73%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.