Dane Sweeny vs Daniel MilavskyVancouver Round of 16

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#124ATP
1460ELO
1444Hard ELO
$256kYTD
$861kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#310ATP
1349ELO
1337Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Sweeny D.
3-6 1-6
Milavsky D.
Sweeny D.
310
Milavsky D.
662

Daniel Milavsky defeated Dane Sweeny 6-3, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the Vancouver hard-court tournament. Milavsky hit 6 aces and 5 double faults, winning 84% of his first-serve points and converting 62% of break points. He broke Sweeny's serve 5 times, compared to Sweeny's 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
76%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
8.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Sweeny D.69%
Milavsky D.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sweeny D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+107 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1337
6.4Overall Elo 1460
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1348
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.86 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
76

Sweeny D.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Milavsky D.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw