Diana Martynov vs Federica Urgesi — W75 Hechingen Round of 32
Martynov D.
Diana Martynov faces Federica Urgesi in the W75 Hechingen round of 32 on clay. Federica Urgesi is the paper favourite — ranked #276, a roughly 260-point clay Elo advantage — but Diana Martynov arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Federica Urgesi's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Urgesi F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Diana Martynov 18 games in 14 days, Federica Urgesi 57.
- Last match: Diana Martynov edged Emma Sophie Glaser in two tight sets (7–5 7–5).
- Surface form: Diana Martynov 6 of 10, Federica Urgesi 4 of 10 on clay recently — Diana Martynov the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMartynov D.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Urgesi F.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.