Rafael Jodar vs Kei Nishikori — Washington Round of 16

Washington · ATP · Round of 16
Rafael Jodar
ESP
Rafael Jodar
#24ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10
WLWWLWWWWL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
JPN
Kei Nishikori
#721ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWWLL
Jodar R.
vs
Nishikori K.

Rafael Jodar faces Kei Nishikori in the Washington round of 16 on hard. Rafael Jodar holds the paper edge — ranked #24, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Jodar R. 2–0 · Nishikori K. 0–1 · small sample
Mixed · hard to compare — different surfaces (Clay × Hard) · 8 months apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jodar R.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Nishikori K.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+192 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1680
8.6Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1714
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 9 matches

Statistics

This season
Jodar R.Nishikori K.
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Nishikori K.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Jodar R.Nishikori K.
Clutch Rating·Even
86
87
Break points saved·Even
91
93
Break points won·Even
71
75
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
93
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Jodar R.Nishikori K.
Freshness·
—
76

Nishikori K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 72%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw