Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto — Washington Round of 16

Washington · WTA · Round of 16
Emma Navarro
USA8
Emma Navarro
#27WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
JOHN HARRIS · 3rd on
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
ITA
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
#67WTA
1805ELO
1773Hard ELO
25 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLLL
Navarro E.
3-6 6-4 3-6
Cocciaretto E.
Navarro E.
3631
Cocciaretto E.
6462

Elisabetta Cocciaretto defeated Emma Navarro 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Washington tournament. Cocciaretto converted 46% of her break points and won six service breaks to Navarro's four. Cocciaretto hit one ace and four double faults, while Navarro had four aces and 10 double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • Cocciaretto produced a dramatic comeback victory, losing the first set then winning consecutive tiebreaks to upset Tauson in a three-hour marathon.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Cocciaretto E.Flashscore.com ↗

  • Cocciaretto ended a four-match losing streak with a dramatic comeback victory, rallying from a set and break down against Tauson.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Cocciaretto E.Last Word On Sports ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08RomeR64clayElisabetta Cocciaretto3-6 3-6
2025-09-19BJK Cup FinalsRRhardElisabetta Cocciaretto6-4 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardEmma Navarro4-6 6-3 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Navarro E.Cocciaretto E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Navarro E.Cocciaretto E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
73
25
Break points saved·Dominant
48
22
Break points won·Slight edge
97
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
89
12
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
68
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Navarro E.68%
Cocciaretto E.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Navarro E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Navarro E.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Cocciaretto E.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1764
Surface ELO
5.1+9 Hard Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1805
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
4.14 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in Usa (84)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Navarro E.Cocciaretto E.
Freshness·Dominant
59
98

Navarro E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Cocciaretto E.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw