Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta CocciarettoWashington Round of 16

Washington · WTA · Round of 16
#27WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$922kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#68WTA
1805ELO
1773Hard ELO
$555kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWLLWW
Navarro E.
vs
Cocciaretto E.

Emma Navarro faces Elisabetta Cocciaretto in the Washington round of 16 on hard. Elisabetta Cocciaretto holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Navarro E.66%
Cocciaretto E.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Navarro E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
9 common opponents · Navarro E. 7–5 · Cocciaretto E. 5–7
Navarro E. better · different surfaces (Grass × Clay)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1764
Surface ELO
5.1+9 Hard Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1805
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
3.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.3Won 71% in Usa (80)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

12 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Navarro E.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Cocciaretto E.

Cocciaretto E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Serve advantage — Cocciaretto E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
18
Break points saved·Slight edge
28
21
Break points won·Clear edge
98
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
8
Tiebreaks·Dominant
74
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 72%

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08RomeR64clayElisabetta Cocciaretto3-6 3-6
2025-09-19BJK Cup FinalsRRhardElisabetta Cocciaretto6-4 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardEmma Navarro4-6 6-3 6-3

Draw