Ye Xin Ma vs Kimberly BirrellMemphis Round of 32

Memphis · WTA · Round of 32
#194WTA
1450ELO
1441Hard ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 3rd on
#66WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
Xin Ma Y.
7-6 6-4
Birrell K.
Xin Ma Y.
7762
Birrell K.
6240

Ye Xin Ma defeated Kimberly Birrell in the Round of 32 of the Memphis tournament, winning 7-6, 6-4 on hard courts. Ye Xin Ma served 3 aces to Birrell's 1 and had a 64% first-serve win percentage, compared to Birrell's 55%. Ye Xin Ma converted 62% of break points and won 5 service breaks to Birrell's 4.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-05W75 Brisbane 2R32hardKimberly Birrell6-1 6-3
2023-02-03W60 BurnieR16hardYe Xin Ma7-6(4) 7-6(3)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
42%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
30
Break points saved·Dominant
54
5
Break points won·Dominant
80
52
Deciding sets·Slight edge
76
83
Tiebreaks·
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Xin Ma Y.29%
Birrell K.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Birrell K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Hard Elo 1441
Surface ELO
8.9+310 Hard Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1450
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1754
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.3Won 56% in Usa (52)
Country comfort
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Xin Ma Y.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw