Ariana Arseneault vs A. XuVancouver Round of 32

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#381WTA
1273ELO
1260Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
USA
A. Xu
56 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWW
Arseneault A.
6-4 7-6
Xu A.
Arseneault A.
6772
Xu A.
4630

Ariana Arseneault defeated A. Xu in the Round of 32 of the Vancouver hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 7-6. Arseneault hit one ace and two double faults, while Xu had two aces and six double faults. Arseneault converted 56% of her break points and secured five service breaks, compared to Xu's four service breaks and 67% break point conversion rate.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-23W35 SaskatoonR16hardAriana Arseneault6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
59%
1st serve points won·
63%
2nd serve points won·
48%
Service points won·
57%
Return points won·
47%
Break points saved·
55%
Aces / match·
2.7
Double faults / match·
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Arseneault A.84%
Xu A.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Arseneault A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Xu A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Arseneault A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
15°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw