Ariana Arseneault vs A. XuW35 Saskatoon Round of 16

W35 Saskatoon · ITF · Round of 16
#404WTA
1273ELO
1260Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
USA
A. Xu
56 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWW
Arseneault A.
6-2 6-2
Xu A.
Arseneault A.
662
Xu A.
220

Ariana Arseneault defeated A. Xu 6-2, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the W35 Saskatoon tournament. Arseneault hit one ace and two double faults, while Xu had no aces and eight double faults. Arseneault won 71% of her first-serve points and converted 83% of her break points, securing five service breaks to Xu's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
59%
1st serve points won·
63%
2nd serve points won·
47%
Service points won·
56%
Return points won·
46%
Break points saved·
57%
Aces / match·
2.9
Double faults / match·
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Arseneault A.61%
Xu A.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Arseneault A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Xu A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Arseneault A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw