Giovanni Oradini vs Federico ArnaboldiM25 Bolzano Round of 16

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Round of 16
#636ATP
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
clay
#524ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWWWL
Oradini G.
6-4 3-6 4-6
Arnaboldi F.
Oradini G.
6341
Arnaboldi F.
4662

Federico Arnaboldi advanced to the quarterfinals of the M25 Bolzano tournament, defeating Giovanni Oradini in a three-set match. Arnaboldi won 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, converting 43% of his break points and securing three service breaks to Oradini's two. The match saw Arnaboldi hit four aces and two double faults, while Oradini had six aces and two double faults.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-28M15 BergamoFclayFederico Arnaboldi6-0 7-5
2024-03-22M15 Opatija 1QFclayFederico Arnaboldi6-2 6-2
2023-09-26M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7R32clayFederico Arnaboldi6-4 6-2
2023-09-22M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 6SFclayFederico Arnaboldi6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
24
39
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
41
Break points won·Slight edge
8
15
Deciding sets·Dominant
51
80
Tiebreaks·
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Oradini G.42%
Arnaboldi F.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Arnaboldi F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.6Trails 0–4 on clay
H2H
8.4Leads 4–0 on clay
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.04 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Arnaboldi F.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw