Sandro Kopp vs Federico Arnaboldi — M25 Bolzano Quarter-final
Kopp S.
Sandro Kopp faces Federico Arnaboldi in the M25 Bolzano quarter-final on clay. Sandro Kopp holds the paper edge — ranked #286, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Kopp S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Federico Arnaboldi has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 39 vs 4).
- Last match: Federico Arnaboldi dropped the opening set before beating Giovanni Oradini 4–6 6–3 6–4.
- Last match: Sandro Kopp dropped just 3 games past G. Sardo.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKopp S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Arnaboldi F.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.