Filippo Romano vs Otto VirtanenSan Marino Round of 32

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#300ATP
1470ELO
1342Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#115ATP
1706ELO
1532Clay ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Romano F.
5-7 4-6
Virtanen O.
Romano F.
540
Virtanen O.
762

Otto Virtanen defeated Filippo Romano in the Round of 32 at the San Marino tournament on clay, winning 7-5, 6-4. Virtanen hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, winning 81% of first-serve points and converting 33% of break points. Virtanen broke Romano's serve 3 times, while Romano broke Virtanen's serve once.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
67%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
9.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Romano F.32%
Virtanen O.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Virtanen O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1342
Surface ELO
7.4+190 Clay Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1470
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1706
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
84
56

Romano F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Virtanen O.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 94 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw