Mia Ristic vs Darja SemenistajaTargu Mures Round of 32

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#219WTA
1504ELO
1479Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 1st on
#112WTA
1654ELO
1636Clay ELO
23 yrs · 169 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Ristic M.
6-2 6-3
Semenistaja D.
Ristic M.
662
Semenistaja D.
230

Mia Ristic defeated Darja Semenistaja 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the Targu Mures clay court tournament. Ristic did not hit an ace and did not commit a double fault, while Semenistaja had one double fault. Ristic won 81% of her first-serve points and converted 60% of her break points, securing three service breaks to Semenistaja's none.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
46%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.1
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 46). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
19
76
Break points saved·Clear edge
35
52
Break points won·Dominant
54
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
94
Tiebreaks·
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Ristic M.49%
Semenistaja D.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Clay Elo 1479
Surface ELO
7.0+157 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1504
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1654
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.95 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Ristic M.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw