D. Tremblay vs Amaury RaynelM15 Strasbourg Round of 32

M15 Strasbourg · ITF · Round of 32
#1711ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#900ATP
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLW
Tremblay D.
4-6 4-6
Raynel A.
Tremblay D.
440
Raynel A.
662

Amaury Raynel defeated D. Tremblay 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the M15 Strasbourg clay court tournament. Raynel hit one ace and four double faults, while converting 40% of break points and winning 73% of first-serve points. He secured four service breaks to Tremblay's two, advancing to the next round.

Key context

  • Match story: Amaury Raynel edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
40%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Dominant
58%
22%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Tremblay D.23%
Raynel A.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Raynel A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.03 of last 8 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
19°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw