A. Fabre vs Amaury Raynel — M15 Strasbourg Round of 16
M15 Strasbourg · ITF · Round of 16
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Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
Fabre A.vs
Raynel A.
A. Fabre faces Amaury Raynel in the M15 Strasbourg round of 16 on clay. Amaury Raynel is the paper favourite — ranked #878 — but A. Fabre arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Amaury Raynel's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCFabre A.40%
Raynel A.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Raynel A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: A. Fabre 6 of 10, Amaury Raynel 3 of 10 on clay recently — A. Fabre the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: A. Fabre carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.03 of last 8 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
1 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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63%
1st serve points won·
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75%
2nd serve points won·
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43%
Service points won·
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63%
Return points won·
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28%
Break points saved·
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50%
Aces / match·
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1.0
Double faults / match·
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6.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 35%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.