Francesco Maestrelli vs Lukas NeumayerSan Marino Round of 32

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$298kYTD
$882kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 4th on
#173ATP
1621ELO
1598Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$576kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWLL
Maestrelli F.
6-4 6-0
Neumayer L.
Maestrelli F.
662
Neumayer L.
400

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Lukas Neumayer in the Round of 32 at the San Marino tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-0. Maestrelli hit 6 aces and committed 2 double faults, while converting 80% of his break points and securing 4 service breaks. Neumayer had 0 aces and 0 break points converted.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
40
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
71
Break points won·Dominant
14
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
11
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Maestrelli F.45%
Neumayer L.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1466
Surface ELO
6.7+132 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1621
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.11 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.63 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
88

Maestrelli F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Neumayer L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw