Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Dalila SpiteriTargu Mures Round of 32

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#450WTA
1244ELO
1222Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 1st on
#341WTA
1376ELO
1374Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLWW
Kotliar Y.
5-7 6-3 6-2
Spiteri D.
Kotliar Y.
5662
Spiteri D.
7321

Yelyzaveta Kotliar defeated Dalila Spiteri in the Round of 32 at the Targu Mures clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 5-7, 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Kotliar. Kotliar converted 54% of her break points and won 7 service breaks to Spiteri's 4.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-03W35 Rome 1R16clayDalila Spiteri6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
43%
Service points won·Even
53%
53%
Return points won·Even
50%
47%
Break points saved·Even
50%
47%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.2
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Kotliar Y.63%
Spiteri D.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kotliar Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1222
Surface ELO
6.9+152 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1244
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1376
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
57
70

Kotliar Y.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Spiteri D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw