A. Hernandez vs Bernard Tomic — Los Cabos Round of 32
Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
AUSLL#170ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWWLW
Hernandez A.vs
Tomic B.
A. Hernandez faces Bernard Tomic in the Los Cabos round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCHernandez A.20%
Tomic B.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Tomic B. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: A. Hernandez comes in with 1 days of rest and 20 games in 14d, vs Bernard Tomic's 1 and 182.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 6 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 months1 common opponents · Hernandez A. 1–0 · Tomic B. 0–1 · small sample
Hernandez A. better · same surface · ⚠ retirement-shortened match, lower-tier event▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.04 of last 6 on hard
Surface form6.06 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
11 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
—
65%
1st serve points won·
—
69%
2nd serve points won·
—
56%
Service points won·
—
65%
Return points won·
—
35%
Break points saved·
—
66%
Aces / match·
—
4.4
Double faults / match·
—
1.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
87
56
Hernandez A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Tomic B.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 95%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.