Soon Woo Kwon vs Arthur GeaLos Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
#157ATP
1744ELO
1716Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLLW
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#129ATP
1597ELO
1610Hard ELO
$359kYTD
$611kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWWLW
Woo Kwon S.
vs
Gea A.

Soon Woo Kwon faces Arthur Gea in the Los Cabos round of 32 on hard. Soon Woo Kwon holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Woo Kwon S.56%
Gea A.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+106 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1610
6.8Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1596
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
10.010 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
54%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
80%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
72%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.3
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Woo Kwon S.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Gea A.

Gea A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Woo Kwon S.

Serve advantage — Woo Kwon S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
51
38
Break points saved·Even
82
81
Break points won·Clear edge
14
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
79
26
Tiebreaks·Even
86
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
74
83

Woo Kwon S.: played today · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Gea A.: 8 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-24WimbledonSFgrassSoon Woo Kwon5-7 6-3 6-4

Draw