Juan Sebastian Osorio vs P. H. ChabalgoityM15 Sao Paulo Round of 32

M15 Sao Paulo · ITF · Round of 32
#760ATP
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#2219ATP
56 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLL
Osorio J.
6-1 6-4
Chabalgoity P.
Osorio J.
662
Chabalgoity P.
140

Juan Sebastian Osorio defeated P. H. Chabalgoity in the Round of 32 at the M15 Sao Paulo tournament on clay, winning 6-1, 6-4. Osorio converted 57% of his break points and secured four service breaks, while Chabalgoity converted 20% of his break points and secured one service break. Osorio also committed two double faults, compared to six by Chabalgoity.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
64%
1st serve points won·
68%
2nd serve points won·
47%
Service points won·
60%
Return points won·
36%
Break points saved·
58%
Aces / match·
3.2
Double faults / match·
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Osorio J.63%
Chabalgoity P.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Osorio J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw