Wilson Leite vs Juan Sebastian Osorio — M15 Sao Paulo Round of 16
M15 Sao Paulo · ITF · Round of 16
—
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
Leite W.vs
Osorio J.
Wilson Leite faces Juan Sebastian Osorio in the M15 Sao Paulo round of 16 on clay. Wilson Leite holds the paper edge — ranked #749. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCLeite W.55%
Osorio J.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Juan Sebastian Osorio dropped just 5 games past P. H. Chabalgoity.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 8 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
12 vs 6 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 57%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.