Ethan Quinn vs Ben SheltonWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#45ATP
1804ELO
1767Hard ELO
$786kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWLWL
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
#6ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWWWL
Quinn E.
vs
Shelton B.

Ethan Quinn faces Ben Shelton in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Ben Shelton holds the paper edge — ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Quinn E.25%
Shelton B.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shelton B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
13 common opponents · Quinn E. 7–9 · Shelton B. 12–3
Shelton B. better · different surfaces (Hard × Grass)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1767
Surface ELO
6.9+154 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1804
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1960
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
60%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
72%
Return points won·Even
33%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
76%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
11.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Quinn E.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Shelton B.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Quinn E.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
100
Break points won·Even
31
35
Deciding sets·Even
97
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-18HalleR16grassBen Shelton6-4 5-7 6-4

Draw