Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinn — Halle Round of 16

Halle · ATP · Round of 16

USA

Ben Shelton

#5ATP

1930ELO

1780Grass ELO

$1.8MYTD

$13MCAREER

23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WWWWWLWLWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 18 June 2026 · 11:30

grass

HERISTO-ARENA · 2nd on

USA

Ethan Quinn

#66ATP

1765ELO

1631Grass ELO

$680kYTD

$2.0MCAREER

22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLWWLWWW

Shelton B.

Quinn E.

Ben Shelton faces Ethan Quinn in the Halle round of 16 on grass. Ben Shelton holds the paper edge — ranked #5, a roughly 150-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC

Shelton B.84%

Quinn E.16%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Shelton B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Ben Shelton comes in with 3 days of rest and 132 games in 14d, vs Ethan Quinn's 1 and 27.
Serve & return: Ben Shelton leads on Serve Rating (76), Ethan Quinn on Return Rating (13).
Last match: Ethan Quinn dropped the opening set before beating Karen Khachanov 1–6 6–4 6–4.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Shelton B.

6.7

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Quinn E.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

6.9+150 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.1Grass Elo 1630

7.1Overall Elo 1930

ELO gap

2.9Overall Elo 1765

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

9.19 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

6.97 of last 10 on grass

9.05-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

0.04 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Shelton B.Stable

Quinn E.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season

Shelton B.Quinn E.

1st serve in·Even

67%

63%

1st serve points won·Even

77%

75%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

60%

51%

Service points won·Slight edge

72%

66%

Return points won·Even

32%

34%

Break points saved·Slight edge

76%

65%

Aces / match·Dominant

11.9

7.9

Double faults / match·Even

2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Shelton B.serving97% hold

wins 79% of points on serve vs Quinn E.

Quinn E.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Shelton B.Quinn E.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Slight edge

100

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Even

Tiebreaks·Even

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Shelton B.Quinn E.

Serve

—

Return

—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load

Shelton B.Quinn E.

Freshness·Dominant

Shelton B.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 132 games (7d) · Quinn E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on HERISTO-ARENA · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

SlowFast

Weather forecast

24°CMainly clear

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.