Brandon Nakashima vs Ethan QuinnCanada Masters Round of 64

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#47ATP
1804ELO
1767Hard ELO
$724kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Nakashima B.
7-6 6-4
Quinn E.
Nakashima B.
7862
Quinn E.
6640

Brandon Nakashima defeated Ethan Quinn 7-6 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21WashingtonR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Quinn E.

Quinn E.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Quinn E.
61
Serve
37
23
Return
21

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.9
7.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
71
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Slight edge
13
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+21 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1767
4.9Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1804
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.6
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
8.5
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
93

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Quinn E.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%