Magdalena Frech vs Ann LiWashington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
#43WTA
1725ELO
1700Hard ELO
$778kYTD
$4.9MCAREER
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLWLWL
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
#32WTA
1807ELO
1746Hard ELO
$837kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWWLWL
Frech M.
vs
Li A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Frech M.43%
Li A.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
11 common opponents · Frech M. 7–6 · Li A. 7–6
Both lost · same surface, 42 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1700
Surface ELO
5.6+46 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1725
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1806
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Frech M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Li A.

Li A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Frech M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
0
8
Break points saved·Slight edge
4
13
Break points won·Dominant
14
41
Deciding sets·Slight edge
21
27
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Li A.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR32hardAnn Li6-3 6-4
2021-10-25CourmayeurR16hardAnn Li5-7 6-3 6-1

Draw