Daniel Milavsky vs Kaylan BigunVancouver Qualifying Semi-final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#310ATP
1349ELO
1337Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 1st on
#548ATP
1302ELO
1275Hard ELO
20 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
Milavsky D.
6-4 7-5
Bigun K.
Milavsky D.
672
Bigun K.
450

Daniel Milavsky defeated Kaylan Bigun in the Vancouver semifinals, 6-4, 7-5. Milavsky hit 11 aces to Bigun's 3 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Bigun's 11%. Milavsky won 85% of his first-serve points to Bigun's 74%, and secured 3 service breaks to Bigun's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
76%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
55%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
76%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Milavsky D.72%
Bigun K.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Milavsky D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+62 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1275
5.6Overall Elo 1348
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1302
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.81 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
67

Milavsky D.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw