Frances Tiafoe vs Terence AtmaneWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#17ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
#49ATP
1704ELO
1674Hard ELO
$717kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLLLL
Tiafoe F.
vs
Atmane T.

Frances Tiafoe faces Terence Atmane in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Frances Tiafoe holds the paper edge — ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 3–0, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Tiafoe F.73%
Atmane T.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tiafoe F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
14 common opponents · Tiafoe F. 11–7 · Atmane T. 8–10
Both lost · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+188 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1674
7.7Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1704
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
7.98 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
32%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.6
7.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Atmane T.

Atmane T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
35
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
84
Break points won·Dominant
30
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
9
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Tiafoe F.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-01WimbledonR128grassFrances Tiafoe7-6 6-1 4-6 6-4
2026-03-18Miami MastersR16hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 1-6 6-4
2026-02-09DallasR32hardFrances Tiafoe4-6 6-2 6-2

Draw