Charles Broom vs Toby Samuel — Winnipeg Semi-final
Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#289ATP
1409ELO
1396Hard ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 2nd on
GBR2#113ATP
1745ELO
1729Hard ELO
$217kYTD
$332kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
Broom C.6-7 2-6
Samuel T.
Broom C.
6420
Samuel T.
7762
Toby Samuel defeated Charles Broom in the semifinals of the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-2 in favor of Samuel.
Key context
- Match story: Toby Samuel closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
67%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTCBroom C.31%
Samuel T.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Samuel T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
0.8Hard Elo 1396
Surface ELO9.2+332 Hard Elo edge
0.8Overall Elo 1409
ELO gap9.2Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form10.010 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 46%