Lucrezia Stefanini vs Mananchaya SawangkaewW100 Evansville Quarter-final

W100 Evansville · ITF · Quarter-final
#142WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
#105WTA
1696ELO
1657Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWW
Stefanini L.
6-3 6-1
Sawangkaew M.
Stefanini L.
662
Sawangkaew M.
310

Lucrezia Stefanini defeated Mananchaya Sawangkaew in the quarterfinals of the W100 Evansville tournament, winning 6-3, 6-1. Stefanini hit one ace and three double faults, while converting 50% of her break points and winning 76% of her first-serve points. She broke Sawangkaew's serve five times, compared to one service break for Sawangkaew.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
76%
67%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
54%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
59%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.6
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
84
Break points saved·Dominant
26
74
Break points won·Even
96
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
97
Tiebreaks·
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Stefanini L.19%
Sawangkaew M.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sawangkaew M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1497
Surface ELO
7.0+160 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1527
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
82

Stefanini L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d) · Sawangkaew M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw