Paul Inchauspe vs Keegan SmithSegovia Quarter-final

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#580ATP
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA 1 · 1st on
#198ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
Inchauspe P.
7-6 6-7 6-7
Smith K.
Inchauspe P.
7762641
Smith K.
6477772

Keegan Smith defeated Paul Inchauspe in the quarterfinals of the Segovia tournament, winning 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 on hard courts. Smith served 7 aces to Inchauspe's 5 and committed 4 double faults to Inchauspe's 2. Neither player converted a break point or lost a service game.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
62%
74%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
76%
66%
Aces / match·Even
6.7
7.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Inchauspe P.33%
Smith K.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Smith K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.43 of last 5 on hard
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
86

Inchauspe P.: 15 days rest · Smith K.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw