Luka Pavlovic vs Keegan Smith — Segovia Semi-final
USA2
Pavlovic L.
Luka Pavlovic defeated Keegan Smith in the semifinals of the Segovia tournament, winning 6-2, 7-6 on hard courts. Pavlovic and Smith were even in aces (5) and double faults (Pavlovic 4, Smith 1). Pavlovic converted 22% of break points and won 91% of first-serve points to secure two service breaks and advance.
Key context
- Match story: Luka Pavlovic closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadPavlovic L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Smith K.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About