Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Toby Samuel — Winnipeg Quarter-final
Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
TPE7#245ATP
1489ELO
1468Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 3rd on
GBR2#113ATP
1745ELO
1729Hard ELO
$217kYTD
$332kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
Hsiou Hsu Y.3-6 6-7
Samuel T.
Hsiou Hsu Y.
3650
Samuel T.
6772
Toby Samuel advanced to the semifinals of the Winnipeg hard-court tournament by defeating Yu Hsiou Hsu in the quarterfinals. Samuel won the match in straight sets, 6-3, 7-6.
Key context
- Match story: Toby Samuel closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTCHsiou Hsu Y.25%
Samuel T.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Samuel T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1468
Surface ELO8.3+260 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1488
ELO gap8.2Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form10.010 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 80%