Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys — Kitzbuhel Quarter-final
Navone M.
Mariano Navone faces Quentin Halys in the Kitzbuhel quarter-final on clay. Mariano Navone is the paper favourite — ranked #47, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage — but Quentin Halys arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on clay to Mariano Navone's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Navone M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Mariano Navone 34 games in 14 days, Quentin Halys 112.
- Serve & return: Quentin Halys leads on Serve Rating (40), Mariano Navone on Return Rating (79).
- Last match: Mariano Navone handed Jan Lennard Struff a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–3 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.