Maxence Rivet vs Lucas MarionneauM15 Rognac Round of 16

M15 Rognac · ITF · Round of 16
#1148ATP
22 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
#1098ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Rivet M.
6-7 6-3 3-6
Marionneau L.
Rivet M.
65631
Marionneau L.
77362

Lucas Marionneau defeated Maxence Rivet in the Round of 16 at the M15 Rognac. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 in favor of Marionneau. Both players converted one service break and had one break point converted each, with Marionneau recording 5 aces and 2 double faults, compared to Rivet's 8 aces and 7 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
47%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Rivet M.47%
Marionneau L.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.53 of last 6 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 14%

Draw