Lucas Marionneau vs Hugo Car — M15 Rognac Quarter-final
M15 Rognac · ITF · Quarter-final
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
Marionneau L.4-6 3-6
Car H.
Marionneau L.
430
Car H.
662
Hugo Car defeated Lucas Marionneau 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the M15 Rognac tournament. Car converted 57% of his break points, compared to Marionneau's 29%, and won four service breaks to Marionneau's two. Car won 70% of his first-serve points, while Marionneau won 61%.
Key context
- Match story: Hugo Car closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
81%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
45%
Aces / match·Even
5.6
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
3.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTCMarionneau L.57%
Car H.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.53 of last 6 on hard
Surface formWin streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 38%