Yanki Erel vs Dominik PalanSegovia Round of 16

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#282ATP
25 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA 1 · 1st on
#504ATP
1214ELO
1201Hard ELO
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Erel Y.
3-6 7-6 6-2
Palan D.
Erel Y.
371362
Palan D.
661121

Yanki Erel defeated Dominik Palan in the Round of 16 at the Segovia tournament, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 7-6, 6-2. Erel hit 6 aces and 5 double faults, converting 38% of break points and securing 3 service breaks. Palan had 9 aces and 10 double faults, converting 29% of break points and securing 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
81%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
32%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.2
12.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Erel Y.67%
Palan D.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Erel Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.96 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Erel Y.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Palan D.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw